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Baccarat Probability Calculator

Free tool — calculate expected value, house edge impact, and streak probabilities for any baccarat bet. No signup required.

Banker Streak
2.028%
1 in 49
Player Streak
1.769%
1 in 57

Expected Value Analysis

Win Probability45.86%
House Edge1.06%

EV per $100 bet-$1.06
Expected loss (100 hands)-$106.00
Expected loss (1,000 hands)-$1060.00

8-Deck Baccarat Probabilities

OutcomeProbabilityPayoutHouse Edge
Banker45.86%0.95:11.06%
Player44.62%1:11.24%
Tie9.52%8:114.36%
Pair7.47%11:110.36%

Test Strategies with Real Simulations

Run 10,000+ hands with Martingale, Paroli, Fibonacci and more. See your equity curve and bankruptcy probability.

Free — 10,000 virtual chips. No real money.

How to Use This Calculator

This free baccarat probability calculator helps you understand the mathematical reality behind every bet. Enter your bet amount, select your bet type (Banker, Player, or Tie), and instantly see:

  • Expected Value (EV) — how much you statistically lose per bet
  • House Edge — the casino's mathematical advantage
  • Projected Loss — expected loss over 100 and 1,000 hands
  • Streak Probability — how likely consecutive wins actually are

Why Banker Is the Best Bet

With a house edge of just 1.06% (after the 5% commission), the Banker bet has the lowest house edge of any standard casino bet. For comparison, American Roulette has a 5.26% house edge, and most slot machines range from 2% to 15%.

However, "best" doesn't mean "profitable." Over thousands of hands, the house always wins. Understanding this math helps you set realistic expectations and manage your bankroll wisely.

Disclaimer

This calculator is for educational purposes only. All probabilities are based on standard 8-deck Punto Banco baccarat rules. Actual results may vary. No strategy or tool can overcome the house edge. Please gamble responsibly.